Thursday, June 5, 2014

Buy In May And You Better Stay!

Well, once again the wive's tale tellers were wrong. After a long squeeze in April and May, June has been a breakout month,

Sunday, April 13, 2014

It's time to protect profits and capital: We are in correction mode





In the S&P 500 we have confirmed sell signals on the; 
Quarterly 
Monthly 
Weekly and
Daily Charts. 
The last correction of May - November 2011 was 300 points. 
I believe we are headed to at least the 1600-1560 level of the mini S&P. 
That is the top of the 13 year sideways channel between 2000 and 2013. 
It's also the new floor that will support future rallies. 
So we have in fact begun "Sell in May go away" this past week. 
It's time to take profits and preserve capital.

Wednesday, April 2, 2014

APRIL FOOLS!

Another breakout day. Price action has been squeezing and chopping for weeks. Today, April 1 price broke out that long pattern and headed north. We are at a point where price is going to move more forcefully -- Up or Down remains to be seen. But we'll know in a few days.



Wednesday, March 26, 2014

I Hate Record Highs

I hate record highs because it seems traders are reluctant to go into uncharted territory. But in any case, despite the sluggishness in activity, there is still money to be made. I have not put any notes on today's charts. They are pretty self-explanatory. We have been going sideways and we may continue. Hopefully we'll get a break -- either way -- up or down. For some fast money.





Friday, March 21, 2014

March 21st Quadrupel Expiration

We're in record territory and dealing with skittish traders. Today was another waiting game for the best moves. The well announced sell off came just before noon and lasted for hours.






Thursday, March 6, 2014

The Wall of Worry

This buy signal on the monthly chart is almost scarey. We're just beginning a new push higher without any significant corrections. We're witnessing something that's very rare.

Monday, February 24, 2014

The Breakout: But Will It Hold?

We've finally broken above the sideways channel that started way back in December on the 23rd.
Today is the first time we've exceeded the 1845 level in the mini S&P 500.
Great news.
But my gut tells me it just might be a trap. A pop above the resistance level is sometimes just a maneuver to suck traders into a long position, only to slam them with heavy selling. i have no technical reason to believe that -- it's just a hunch right now.
We will see.
For today we've had a nice clean run from last night's low around 1830 to almost 1847.
A good day.
Right Click, "View Image"  to enlarge chart.


Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Saturday, January 25, 2014

I'm Baack!

Ok. So we've experienced a ridiculous rally since March 9, 2009 from '666' in the S&P. And now we're at the all time high territory near 1800.




Now we are about to deal with a series of pullbacks, I believe. I'm looking for the ultimate pullback to 1540-1560 which was the thirteen year resistance level - broken for the first time ever back in May 2013.
Once we go down and confirm that new level of support I think we'll see a very long term bull market lasting 5 to 10 years.